Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction and betting tips (September 18)
Another edition of the Madrid derby is around the corner, and it’s happening on Sunday, September 18. Atletico will be hosting Real in the fixture. Los Colchoneros won the previous derby at home.
In the league, Vinicius has four goals and an assist.
In the league, Vinicius has four goals and an assist.
by Paul Awoniyi Paul Awoniyi

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid clash in Round 6 of the 2022-23 La Liga season.

The match is scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. GMT on Sunday, 18 September 2022. The match venue is Estadio Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid.

Latest odds on betting sites

Atletico Madrid to win odds are priced at 2.90 (+190 American; 19/10 Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 3.25 (+225; 9/4), while Real Madrid to win odds are priced at 2.50 (+150; 3/2).

The chances of these outcomes are as follows: Atletico Madrid — 34%, draw — 26%, Real Madrid — 40%.

Latest betting odds on Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid (18 September 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 1.91 (-110; 10/11)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on Atletico Madrid — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
  • Asian handicap (0.0) on Real Madrid — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.71 (-140; 5/7)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.05 (+105; 21/20)

Match preview and statistics

Atletico Madrid have ten points, and a +5 goal difference from three wins, a draw and a loss in the five matches played. They lost 0-2 to Leverkusen in the UCL fixture. It was a poor performance from Diego Simeone’s men.

They had 55% possession, 0.99 expected goals, 12 total shots, one big chance, three shots on target, 482 accurate passes, 87% pass accuracy, 13 fouls committed, two offsides and four corners.

In their last league match, Los Colchoneros beat Celta Vigo 4-1. Angel Correa, Rodrigo De Paul and Yannick Carrasco scored for the Reds. Gabriel Veiga pulled one back, while an own goal from Unai Unez made it 4-1. They are unbeaten in three league games, with two wins and a draw.

Atletico Madrid team news: Jose Gimenez, Sergio Reguilon and Stefan Savic are sidelined because of injuries.

Real Madrid are top of the league table with 15 points and a +10 goal difference. They have five wins from five games. In other competitions, Los Blancos have won every one of their games.

Madrid beat RB Leipzig 2-nil in their last match in the UCL. Federico Valverde put them in front in the 80th minute with a left footed strike into the bottom left corner. Assisted by Vinicius Junior worked the ball to the right flank for the Uruguayan, who did the rest.

Marco Asensio sealed the win with the second goal in the 90+1 minute. Toni Kroos worked a short pass to Asensio from the left flank, and he hammered a stunning strike away from Gulacsi into the right side of the net. Kroos got the assist.

Team statistics: 52% possession, 0.96 expected goals, 12 total shots, two big chances, three shots on target, 467 accurate passes, 88% pass accuracy, 10 fouls committed, one offside, three corners and one yellow card.

In their last league game, the defending champions beat Mallorca 4-1. Vedat Muriqi scored first to give Mallorca the lead. Federico Valverde equalized on the stroke of halftime, Vinicius Junior made it 2-1, Rodrygo and Antonio Rudiger scored the remaining goals to seal the win.

Real Madrid team news: Eder Militao, Karim Benzema and Lucas Vazquez are ruled out because of injuries.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid H2H

In their last five meetings, Atletico have one win, Real have three wins and a draw. Los Colchoneros won 1-nil in the last meeting.

Lineups and key players

Atletico Madrid projected starting lineup:

  • Ivo Grbic
  • Axel Witsel
  • Mario Hermoso
  • Reinildo
  • Nahuel Molina
  • Rodrigo De Paul
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia
  • Thomas Lemar
  • Yannick Carrasco
  • Joao Felix
  • Alvaro Morata

Joao Felix is the key player to watch out for. He hasn’t scored in the league this season but has provided three assists in five appearances. Felix needs to pick up his scoring boots and score in the derby. A key player like him should drop a top performance.

Real Madrid projected starting lineup:

  • Thibaut Courtois
  • Dani Carvajal
  • Nacho Fernandez
  • Antonio Rudiger
  • David Alaba
  • Aurelien Tchouameni
  • Toni Kroos
  • Luka Modric
  • Federico Valverde
  • Rodrygo
  • Vinicius Junior

Vinicius Junior is the key player to watch out for. He has been impactful in the team since the start of the season. In the league, the Brazilian has four goals and an assist. In their last game, he assisted the opener to give Madrid the lead and dropped a top performance. You definitely cannot take your eyes off him in this tie.

Prediction and betting tips

Real Madrid can be regarded as the best team across Europe’s top 5 leagues. They have won all of their matches this season, with eight wins in eight games. Los Blancos are top of the league standings.

Atletico Madrid have three wins, a draw and a loss in the last five matches. They haven’t lost in three league matches, with two wins and a draw. From the h2h record, the Whites have won three of the last five meetings, the Reds have one win with a draw. Atletico won 1-nil in the last meeting.

Predictions for this match are both teams to score (Yes), and Real Madrid to win or draw. The visitors are in better form than their opponents but remember that the hosts cannot be looked down on. They have the home advantage.

Betting prediction: Both teams to score (Yes)

Odds: 1.71 (-140 American; 5/7 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Double chance — Real Madrid to win or draw

Odds: 1.40 (-250 American; 2/5 Fractional)

Atletico Madrid — Real Madrid
Double chance — X2
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