FIFA World Cup 2022: France vs Poland prediction and betting tips (December 4)
France finished top of their group with two wins in three games. Will Les Blues get a win over Poland and qualify for the quarter-finals?
Kylian Mbappe was France's best player in the group stage of the World Cup
Kylian Mbappe was France's best player in the group stage of the World Cup
by Dipo Lukman Dipo Lukman

France will host Poland in Round 16 of the FIFA World Cup.

The match will start at 3 p.m. GMT on Sunday, 4 December 2022. The match venue is Al Thumama Stadium, Ad-Doha.

Latest odds on betting sites

France to win odds are priced at 1.60 (-167; American ⅗ Fractional), the odds for a draw are priced at 5.40 (+440; 22/5), while Poland to win odds are priced at 11.00 (+1000; 10/1)

The chances of the outcomes are as follows: France — 72%, draw — 19%, Poland— 9%.

Latest betting odds on France vs Poland (4 December 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Asian handicap (-0.25) on France — 2.30 (+130; 13/10)
  • Asian handicap (+0.25) on Poland — 1.60 (-167; 3/5)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 2.20 (+120; 6/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)

Match preview and statistics

France finished top of their group with six points. Les Blues scored the most goals in their group (6) while conceding three goals. France smashed Australia by four goals to one in their opening game. Les Blues got a 2-1 win over Denmark in the second game as they qualified for the knockout stages.

France suffered a 0-1 defeat to Tunisia in their last game of the group stage. Wahbi Khazri scored the only goal of the game in the 58th minute with a nice finish into the net. France rested most of their players in the game after they secured qualification in the previous game. They had 0.81 expected goals in the game with 10 shots.

France was one of the best teams in the tournament during the knockout stages. Les Blues was the first team to secure qualification to the knockout stages after top performances in their first two games. Mbappe and Dembele on the wings provided the width for France on the wing as they combined perfectly with their full-backs and created a lot of chances. The Midfield has been good as well even in absence of key players like Kante and Pogba who didn't make the squad due to injury. France is the stronger side in their quarter-finals and should get a comfortable win against Poland.

France team news: Lucas Hernandez is out after picking up an injury in their defeat to Australia.

Poland finished second in their group as they finished with four points. They had the same score as Mexico but qualified based on goals conceded with Poland conceding two while scoring two goals in the group stages. Poland played a 0-0 draw against Mexico in their opening game. They got a 2-0 win over Saudi Arabia in their first win of the competition.

Poland suffered a 0-2 defeat to Argentina in their last game. Argentina was awarded a penalty in the 39th minute after a slight foul on Messi. Szczesny saved the penalty as he pushed the ball out for a corner. Mac Allister opened the scoreline in the 46th minute with a nice finish into the bottom left corner. Julian Alvarez doubled their lead in the 67th minute with a stunning strike into the net.

Poland thought they were out of the competition after Mexico scored the third goal against Saudi Arabia but the goal was ruled out for offside as Poland qualified. They were horrible in their last game against Argentina as they preferred defending over trying to attack and get a goal in a crucial game. They will have to do better if they are to get a win against France.

Poland team news: All players are fit and available

France vs Poland H2H

France got a 1-0 win in the last meeting between both sides.

Projected lineups and key players

France launched starting lineup:

  • Hugo Lloris
  • Benjamin Pavard
  • Dayot Upamecano
  • Ibrahima Konate
  • Theo Hernandez
  • Aurelien Tchouameni
  • Adrien Rabiot
  • Antoine Griezmann
  • Ousmane Dembele
  • Olivier Giroud
  • Kylian Mbappe

Kylian Mbappe was France's best player in the group stage of the World Cup. The French international has scored the joint-most goals in the competition (3), overperforming his expected goals of 2.39. Mbappe has provided one assist while creating one chance.

Poland projected starting lineup:

  • Wojciech Szczesny
  • Jan Bednarek
  • Kamil Glik
  • Jakub Kiwior
  • Frankowski
  • Grzegorz Krychowiak
  • Piotr Zielinski
  • Sebastian Szymanski
  • Nicola Zalewski
  • Arkadiusz Milik
  • Robert Lewandowski

Wojciech Sczesny has been the best goalkeeper in the World Cup. The Polish international saved Lionel Messi’s penalty in their 0-2 defeat to Argentina. Sczesny will have to be in his best form as well if they stand a chance against France.

Predictions and betting tips

France has scored a goal in three of their last five games in all competitions. Poland has scored a goal in three of their last five games between both sides. France scored the most goals in their World Cup group with six goals. I predict both teams will score.

France is the stronger team in this tie as they will be looking to qualify for the quarter-finals. Les Blues showed their top quality in their first and second game of the World Cup. France will be looking to defend their title in the World Cup. I predict France to win 2-1.

Betting prediction: Both teams to score

Odds: 2.20 (+120 American; 6/5 Fractional)

Betting prediction: France to win 2-1

Odds: 8.00 (+700 American; 7/1 Fractional)

France — Poland
France to win 2-1
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