Southampton will host Manchester City in the quarter-final of the EFL Cup.

The match will start at 8:00 p.m. GMT on Wednesday, 11 January 2023. The match venue is St Mary’s Stadium, Southampton.

Latest odds on betting sites

Southampton have their winning odds placed at 5.30 (+430 American; 43/10 Fractional). Manchester City, on the other hand, have their winning odds placed at 2.00 (+100; 1/1). The betting odds for a draw are at 4.10 (+340; 34/10).

The chances of the outcomes are as follows: Southampton — 18%, draw — 24%, Manchester City — 58%.

Latest betting odds on Southampton vs Manchester City (11 January 2023):

• Over 2.5 goals — 1.98 (-102; 49/50)
• Under 2.5 goals — 2.10 (+110; 11/10)
• Asian handicap (-1.25) on Southampton — 2.76 (+176; 44/25)
• Asian handicap (+1.25) on Manchester City — 1.48 (-208; 12/25)
• Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.91 (-110; 91/100)
• Both teams to score (No) — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)

Match preview and stats

Southampton got a 2-1 win over Lincoln in their Round 4 of the EFL Cup. Gavin Bazunu put the ball in his net in the second minute. Che Adams opened the scoreline in the 25th minute with a nice finish into the far corner. He got his second goal of the game in the 74th minute with a one-time finish into the net.

Southampton had 69% ball possession and completed 514 passes. The Saints created six big chances. Southampton had 16 shots with two being on target. They had an expected goal of 2.53 compared to Lincoln’s expected goal of 0.44.

Southampton are 20th in the Premier League table with 12 points. The Saints have scored 15 goals while conceding 33 goals with a difference of -18. Southampton have won three games, drawn three and lost 12 games.

Southampton team news: Alex McCarthy is out with an ankle injury. Bella-Ketchup is unavailable with a knock. Juan Larios is out with a muscle injury. Valentino Livramento is out with a cruciate ligament injury.

Manchester City got a 3-2 win over Liverpool in round 4 of the EFL Cup. Erling Haaland opened the scoreline in the 10th minute with a nice finish into the bottom-left corner. Fabio Carvalho levelled the scoreline in the 20th minute with a nice effort into the bottom-left corner.

Riyad Mahrez made it 2-1 in the 47th minute with a curling effort into the net. Mohamed Salah levelled the scoreline as he converted the ball into the net. Nathan Ake made it 3-2 in the 58th minute with a curling ball into the net.

The Citizens had 56% ball possession and created five big chances. Manchester City had 2.23 expected goals as they missed three chances. They completed 504 passes with 90% accuracy. Manchester City committed six fouls and had seven corners.

Manchester City are second in the Premier League table with 39 points. The Citizens have scored 45 goals while conceding 16 goals with a difference of +29. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last three games in all competitions

Manchester City team news: Ruben Dias is out with a hamstring injury.

Southampton vs Manchester City H2H

Manchester City have won two of the last two games between both sides.

Projected lineups and key players

Southampton projected starting lineup:

• Gavin Bazunu
• Lyanco
• Duje Caleta-Car
• Mohammed Salisu
• Romain Perraud
• James Ward-Prowse
• Ainsley Maitland-Niles
• Adam Armstrong
• Joe Aribo
• Samuel Edozie
• Che Adams

Notable subs: Adam Armstrong and Stuart Armstrong

Che Adams scored two goals in their 2-1 win over Lincoln. He has scored four goals in the Premier League, underperforming his expected goals of 4.58. He has provided one assist while creating 18 chances.

Manchester City's projected starting lineup:

• Ederson Moraes
• Aymeric Laporte
• Nathan Ake
• John Stones
• Joao Cancelo
• Rodri
• Ilkay Gundogan
• Erling Haaland
• Bernardo Silva
• Kevin De Bruyne
• Riyad Mahrez

Erling Haaland has been the best player in the league this season. The Manchester City striker scored one goal in their 3-2 win over Liverpool. Haaland is the highest goalscorer in the league with 21 goals, overperforming his expected goals of 13.60. Haaland has provided three assists while creating 15 chances.

Betting tips and predictions

Three of the last four games between both sides have ended in over 2.5 goals. The last meeting between both sides ended in a 4-0 victory as Manchester City won the game in the league. Four of the last five Southampton games have ended in over 2.5 goals. Manchester City’s last game ended with over 2.5 goals. I predict over 2.5 goals.

Erling Haaland scored a goal in their 3-2 win over Liverpool. He has been the best player in the Premier League this season. The Norwegian international is the highest goalscorer in the league with 21 goals, overperforming his expected goals of 13.60. Haaland has scored 21 goals in 15 league games as he became the fastest player to reach that milestone. I predict Haaland will score anytime.

Betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals

Odds: 2.00 (+100 American; 1/1 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Haaland to score anytime.

Odds: 2.00 (+100 American; 1/11 Fractional)